so, yeah romney does well on the pugh poll, obama is leading in all of the rest of them. the in-trade -- peter can help me out with that. the in-trade average, i think is sort of like the las vegas betting average. >> yeah. yeah. yeah. >> bill: right. what the brokers are saying if you are placing bets or buying stock, the in-trade average by the way is obama 64 romney 35.7. so the prognosticators are not giving romney a great chance here. now what is more important is to go to the battleground states. pardon me. again, the battleground states, and there are about ten of them they are the ones that are really at play. it's going to be the electoral vote college. let's look at some of the battleground states. in pennsylvania president obama up by seven. florida tie. republican-leading state obama is still tied there. iowa, obama up by 3.2. colorado close. obama up by .2%. >> michigan obama up by 6. nevada obama up by 4.6. ohio, no republican has won the presidency without winning ohio obama is up by three. mitt romney and president obama are in ohio today. ohio is a key, k